EDGEFORGE
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MLB·Venue TBD

NYY @ BOS

New York Yankees (78-52) @ Boston Red Sox (71-59)

Mon, Jul 20, 11:10 PM UTC

NYY -135
Model probability
62.8%
Implied probability
57.4%
Potential edge
+5.4pp
Current line
-135
Confidence
Medium
Risk
Moderate

Market Pulse

Open
-125
Current
-135
Best
-135
Consensus
-135
Move
-10
Velocity
2.5

Odds comparison

Pinnacle-135 · -130
DraftKings-135 · -135
FanDuel-134.5 · -135

Key statistics

Model Edge5.4%
FormMixedStrong

Player availability

No availability feed in mock.

Supporting signals

  • Model probability above market
    Primary edge driver from probability gap.

Contradicting signals

  • Limited sample context
    Mock fallback — live data not connected.

Forge AI Analysis

Mock analysis for Yankees @ Red Sox. Live Forge AI wiring pending.

Why detected
  • Probability gap exceeds threshold.
  • Line movement aligns with model direction.
Risks
  • Single-game variance.
  • Price may disappear before execution.
Supporting
  • Edge Score in actionable band.
Contradicting
  • Incomplete injury feed in mock mode.
What could invalidate
  • Major lineup change.
  • Sharp reverse move without news.
Market context

Current line -135 · movement -10.